Copa del Rey . 1/256
Global 1-4
Barça Atlètic vs Bilbao Ath. analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.9%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.4%
23.7%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barça Atlètic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 1970 |
GIM
3 - 0
FCB
21%
24%
55%
|
58 | 38 | 20 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1970 |
FCB
2 - 1
EUR
84%
12%
5%
|
58 | 42 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1970 |
FCB
3 - 3
TER
78%
15%
8%
|
59 | 46 | 13 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 1970 |
JUP
0 - 2
FCB
17%
23%
60%
|
58 | 28 | 30 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 1970 |
FCB
5 - 1
CEM
86%
10%
4%
|
57 | 32 | 25 | +1 |
Matches
Bilbao Ath.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 1970 |
ATH
3 - 0
BAR
85%
11%
4%
|
60 | 24 | 36 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1970 |
SSC
0 - 2
ATH
35%
26%
39%
|
60 | 44 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1970 |
ATH
8 - 1
SIE
85%
11%
4%
|
60 | 18 | 42 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1970 |
LUG
2 - 1
ATH
24%
27%
49%
|
60 | 37 | 23 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1970 |
ATH
3 - 1
ROB
84%
12%
4%
|
59 | 33 | 26 | +1 |