Barbalha vs Ceará analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
7%
Win probability
0.45
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.1%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
1.7%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
5.7%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
17.9%
75.1%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
0-1
17%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26%
0-2
17.3%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
23.2%
0-3
11.7%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
14.6%
0-4
6%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
7.1%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barbalha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
FOR
4 - 2
BAR
87%
11%
3%
|
39 | 76 | 37 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
UNI
3 - 0
BAR
53%
23%
23%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | -2 |
| 13 Feb. 2020 |
BAR
0 - 1
FER
27%
25%
48%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2020 |
BAR
0 - 3
OPE
17%
24%
60%
|
42 | 60 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
BAR
2 - 1
CAU
60%
21%
20%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Ceará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2020 |
CEA
2 - 1
SPO
47%
26%
27%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2020 |
CEA
1 - 0
VIT
56%
24%
21%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
UNI
0 - 1
CEA
10%
19%
71%
|
73 | 45 | 28 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2020 |
RIV
0 - 4
CEA
8%
19%
73%
|
73 | 43 | 30 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
CEA
0 - 0
GUA
81%
14%
5%
|
73 | 46 | 27 | 0 |