Cearense 1 Primera Fase. Jor. 5

Barbalha vs Caucaia EC analysis

Barbalha Caucaia EC
37 ELO 32
-0.3% Tilt -8.9%
6786º General ELO ranking 5008º
257º Country ELO ranking 188º
ELO win probability
54%
Barbalha
21.1%
Draw
24.9%
Caucaia EC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54%
Win probability
Barbalha
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
24.9%
Win probability
Caucaia EC
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Barbalha
+17%
-10%
Caucaia EC

ELO progression

Barbalha
Caucaia EC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Barbalha
Barbalha
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Feb. 2021
FER
Ferroviário
5 - 2
Barbalha
BAR
75%
16%
9%
38 51 13 0
17 Feb. 2021
BAR
Barbalha
0 - 2
Icasa
ICA
60%
21%
19%
39 33 6 -1
14 Feb. 2021
BAR
Barbalha
2 - 1
Atlético Cearense
UNI
31%
25%
45%
37 45 8 +2
10 Feb. 2021
GUA
Guarany de Sobral
0 - 0
Barbalha
BAR
48%
25%
27%
37 39 2 0
16 Jul. 2020
BAR
Barbalha
0 - 2
Guarany de Sobral
GUA
31%
25%
43%
39 46 7 -2

Matches

Caucaia EC
Caucaia EC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Feb. 2021
GUA
Guarany de Sobral
0 - 3
Caucaia EC
CAU
56%
22%
22%
29 39 10 0
17 Feb. 2021
CAU
Caucaia EC
0 - 3
Atlético Cearense
UNI
21%
22%
57%
31 44 13 -2
13 Feb. 2021
CAU
Caucaia EC
2 - 0
Crato
CRA
41%
23%
36%
30 32 2 +1
10 Feb. 2021
PAC
Pacajus
0 - 0
Caucaia EC
CAU
53%
22%
25%
29 36 7 +1
15 Jul. 2020
FER
Ferroviário
0 - 0
Caucaia EC
CAU
78%
14%
8%
28 52 24 +1
X