Baranovichi vs Torpedo Zhodino Reservas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.2%
Win probability
2.65
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.4%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.3%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.5%
11.3%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
8
7º
17º
15º
8
8º
18º
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
5º
|
15 | 69 |
1º
|
44% | |
|
1º
|
22 | 66 |
2º
|
19.5% | |
|
3º
|
17 | 61 |
3º
|
17% | |
|
10º
|
8 | 59 |
4º
|
15% | |
|
9º
|
11 | 56 |
5º
|
10% | |
|
2º
|
18 | 56 |
6º
|
15% | |
|
8º
|
11 | 55 |
7º
|
6% | |
|
4º
|
16 | 54 |
8º
|
15.5% | |
|
7º
|
12 | 53 |
9º
|
9% | |
|
6º
|
14 | 53 |
10º
|
11.5% | |
|
18º
|
0 | 50 |
11º
|
16.5% | |
|
14º
|
7 | 42 |
12º
|
15% | |
|
16º
|
5 | 38 |
13º
|
15.5% | |
|
11º
|
8 | 37 |
14º
|
19.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
8 | 37 |
15º
|
26% | |
|
17º
|
5 | 24 |
16º
|
30% | |
|
|
13º
|
8 | 22 |
17º
|
31% | |
|
15º
|
7 | 20 |
18º
|
42.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
94% | 38% |
|
Relegation
|
6% | 62% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baranovichi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2024 |
BAR
2 - 1
FBG
37%
23%
40%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2024 |
FKS
0 - 8
BAR
11%
15%
74%
|
45 | 7 | 38 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
ABF
2 - 0
BAR
14%
21%
65%
|
47 | 15 | 32 | -2 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
BAR
0 - 0
FCS
69%
18%
14%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2024 |
ORS
4 - 0
BAR
36%
25%
40%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
Torpedo Zhodino Reservas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2024 |
FCN
7 - 1
TZH
75%
15%
10%
|
36 | 54 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
TZH
1 - 1
VOL
14%
21%
66%
|
35 | 53 | 18 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2024 |
ZOR
0 - 2
TZH
78%
15%
7%
|
33 | 61 | 28 | +2 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
BEL
2 - 1
TZH
79%
14%
8%
|
33 | 51 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
TZH
1 - 8
FBG
16%
21%
63%
|
35 | 48 | 13 | -2 |