Baoding Yingli vs Jiangsu Yancheng analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.7%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.6%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
15.9%
8.4%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baoding Yingli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2016 |
BAY
1 - 1
YIN
46%
25%
29%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2016 |
JIN
0 - 1
BAY
34%
26%
41%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2016 |
SHE
0 - 2
BAY
58%
22%
20%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | +2 |
| 25 Jun. 2016 |
HEB
1 - 2
BAY
57%
23%
20%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Jun. 2016 |
BAO
2 - 1
BAY
43%
25%
32%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Jiangsu Yancheng
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2016 |
JYD
0 - 2
HEB
21%
24%
56%
|
36 | 52 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2016 |
YIN
2 - 0
JYD
76%
16%
8%
|
37 | 51 | 14 | -1 |
| 09 Jul. 2016 |
JYD
2 - 2
BIT
31%
24%
45%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | +1 |
| 02 Jul. 2016 |
JIN
1 - 0
JYD
63%
21%
16%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Jun. 2016 |
ANH
1 - 0
JYD
72%
18%
11%
|
37 | 49 | 12 | 0 |