Bangu vs Brasília analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.5%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.8%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.2%
13.2%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bangu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 1984 |
BAN
2 - 2
BAH
42%
25%
33%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1984 |
TRE
1 - 0
BAN
41%
27%
32%
|
74 | 59 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1984 |
ATM
1 - 1
BAN
73%
16%
12%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1984 |
BAN
0 - 0
CRB
63%
22%
16%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1984 |
BAN
0 - 1
ATM
36%
24%
40%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Brasília
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 1984 |
FLA
3 - 0
BRA
89%
8%
4%
|
62 | 85 | 23 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1984 |
BRA
1 - 3
PAL
25%
28%
48%
|
62 | 81 | 19 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1984 |
OPE
4 - 2
BRA
72%
19%
9%
|
63 | 82 | 19 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 1984 |
BRA
0 - 2
GOI
42%
28%
30%
|
63 | 79 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1984 |
PAL
4 - 0
BRA
73%
18%
9%
|
64 | 81 | 17 | -1 |