Bangor vs Portstewart analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.9%
Win probability
2.92
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.4%
5-0
5.5%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.2%
4-0
9.4%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.9%
3-0
12.8%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
9%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
10.5%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
5%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
10.5%
4.5%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.5%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-26%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
53
1º
3º
1º
21
7º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
53 | 57 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 47 |
2º
|
78% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 45 |
3º
|
78% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 39 |
4º
|
99% | |
|
5º
|
29 | 32 |
5º
|
80.5% | |
|
6º
|
27 | 28 |
6º
|
30.5% | |
|
8º
|
24 | 27 |
7º
|
25.5% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 26 |
8º
|
41.5% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 23 |
9º
|
65.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
21 | 21 |
10º
|
75% | |
|
11º
|
17 | 18 |
11º
|
88.5% | |
|
12º
|
11 | 14 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bangor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2023 |
BAN
2 - 0
BRF
54%
22%
24%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
ARC
0 - 3
BAN
15%
20%
65%
|
52 | 38 | 14 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2023 |
BAN
1 - 2
CRU
17%
19%
64%
|
53 | 70 | 17 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
TOB
2 - 0
BAN
8%
16%
77%
|
53 | 27 | 26 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
PSN
1 - 2
BAN
7%
14%
79%
|
53 | 23 | 30 | 0 |
Matches
Portstewart
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
POR
0 - 2
BAN
32%
25%
44%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
TOB
2 - 3
POR
33%
22%
45%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
PSN
1 - 2
POR
24%
21%
56%
|
36 | 23 | 13 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2023 |
MOY
2 - 1
POR
65%
20%
16%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
POR
1 - 2
LIS
53%
21%
27%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | -1 |