Bangor vs Lurgan Celtic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.2%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.3%
3-0
8%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.6%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.3%
12.5%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bangor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
KNO
2 - 4
BAN
34%
25%
41%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
BAN
1 - 1
CAR
61%
21%
19%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2014 |
BAN
4 - 2
CRU
22%
21%
57%
|
56 | 70 | 14 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
ARC
1 - 2
BAN
35%
24%
41%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
DUN
3 - 3
BAN
30%
24%
47%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Lurgan Celtic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
POR
1 - 1
LCE
22%
22%
57%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
LIM
3 - 4
LCE
36%
23%
41%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
LCE
1 - 0
MOY
55%
22%
23%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
LCE
2 - 2
TOB
70%
17%
13%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
SYL
0 - 2
LCE
29%
22%
49%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | +1 |