Bangor vs Institute analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.2%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
27.7%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bangor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2014 |
BAN
1 - 0
WAR
50%
23%
27%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
WAR
0 - 0
BAN
42%
24%
34%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
BAN
3 - 2
DUN
42%
23%
35%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2014 |
BAN
7 - 1
GLE
74%
17%
9%
|
53 | 38 | 15 | +1 |
| 04 Jan. 2014 |
BAN
1 - 0
DON
61%
21%
18%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
INS
6 - 1
LAR
69%
19%
12%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2014 |
COA
1 - 1
INS
22%
22%
56%
|
56 | 36 | 20 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2013 |
INS
4 - 0
DER
66%
21%
14%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2013 |
LAR
4 - 3
INS
22%
23%
55%
|
56 | 40 | 16 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
INS
1 - 1
LIS
57%
22%
21%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |