Bangor City vs Cefn Druids AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.9%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.2%
15%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bangor City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
POR
2 - 0
BAN
41%
25%
34%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
BAN
1 - 2
CAR
52%
23%
25%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2014 |
PRE
1 - 0
BAN
29%
22%
49%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2014 |
BAN
3 - 3
PRE
66%
18%
16%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
RHY
3 - 2
BAN
38%
24%
38%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
CEF
1 - 3
CAR
35%
24%
41%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
PRE
0 - 4
CEF
59%
21%
20%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | +2 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
AIR
2 - 3
CEF
77%
16%
8%
|
46 | 67 | 21 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
NEW
4 - 1
CEF
61%
21%
18%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2014 |
CEF
0 - 1
BAL
20%
23%
58%
|
48 | 62 | 14 | -1 |