Bangladesh vs Bután analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.7%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
16.9%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bangladesh
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2009 |
BGD
3 - 0
MAC
62%
20%
18%
|
41 | 26 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2009 |
BGD
1 - 2
MMR
24%
23%
53%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
BGD
1 - 0
KHM
56%
22%
22%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2008 |
BGD
0 - 2
IDN
12%
18%
69%
|
41 | 64 | 23 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2008 |
MMR
0 - 0
BGD
75%
16%
9%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Bután
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
NPL
2 - 1
BTN
73%
17%
11%
|
28 | 47 | 19 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
MDV
5 - 0
BTN
79%
13%
8%
|
29 | 49 | 20 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2009 |
TKM
7 - 0
BTN
78%
15%
7%
|
32 | 60 | 28 | -3 |
| 14 Apr. 2009 |
PHL
1 - 0
BTN
66%
19%
15%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | -1 |
| 11 Jun. 2008 |
IND
2 - 1
BTN
69%
19%
12%
|
33 | 53 | 20 | 0 |