Banbury United vs Swindon Supermarine analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
24.7%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-47%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Banbury United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2008 |
RUG
0 - 0
BAN
34%
26%
39%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2008 |
STO
1 - 1
BAN
60%
21%
19%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2008 |
BAN
1 - 0
OXF
47%
25%
28%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2008 |
BAN
2 - 1
SWI
47%
25%
28%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2008 |
TIV
0 - 2
BAN
47%
26%
28%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Swindon Supermarine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2008 |
SWI
2 - 1
MAN
41%
29%
30%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2008 |
SWI
0 - 1
CLE
43%
27%
30%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2008 |
CHI
3 - 1
SWI
61%
21%
17%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2008 |
HIT
0 - 1
SWI
50%
24%
26%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2008 |
BAN
2 - 1
SWI
47%
25%
28%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | -1 |