Banbury United vs Brackley Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.2%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.8%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
55.2%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
10%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Banbury United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2020 |
BAN
6 - 1
WAN
74%
16%
10%
|
37 | 9 | 28 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
BAN
2 - 1
RUS
42%
26%
32%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2020 |
BAN
4 - 2
NEE
49%
23%
27%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | +2 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
BAN
2 - 0
STO
35%
24%
42%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
HIT
0 - 0
BAN
44%
25%
31%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Brackley Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2020 |
BRA
1 - 1
GAT
47%
26%
27%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2020 |
ALF
2 - 4
BRA
23%
25%
52%
|
49 | 36 | 13 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
BRA
5 - 2
BLY
69%
19%
12%
|
48 | 31 | 17 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2020 |
BRA
0 - 0
BOS
51%
25%
24%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
DAR
1 - 1
BRA
28%
26%
46%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | 0 |