Q. Europa League Primera Ronda Final
Global 5-3
Balzan FC vs Shamakhi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.4%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.9%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
37.6%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Balzan FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jun. 2018 |
VAR
2 - 4
BAL
42%
24%
34%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2018 |
RIJ
2 - 1
BAL
73%
17%
10%
|
65 | 81 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
VAL
2 - 1
BAL
44%
26%
31%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
HIB
1 - 0
BAL
55%
23%
22%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
BAL
2 - 1
SEN
71%
18%
11%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Shamakhi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2018 |
SHA
1 - 0
FKQ
44%
25%
31%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2018 |
SEB
0 - 1
SHA
33%
29%
38%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2018 |
SHA
3 - 0
QAR
46%
27%
27%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2018 |
FKQ
1 - 1
SHA
47%
26%
27%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
SHA
2 - 1
FKN
46%
27%
27%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |