Balzan FC vs Pieta Hotspurs analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.3%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.9%
10.7%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
46
2º
9º
5º
12
11º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 50 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 48 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 46 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 29 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 25 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
15 | 15 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
14 | 14 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
12 | 12 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Balzan FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
HIB
1 - 2
BAL
61%
23%
17%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
BAL
0 - 0
MAR
57%
24%
19%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
GUD
0 - 1
BAL
36%
27%
37%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
BAL
4 - 0
TAR
53%
22%
25%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
BAL
3 - 1
SLU
57%
23%
20%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Pieta Hotspurs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2023 |
PIE
0 - 2
SAN
52%
21%
27%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
PIE
0 - 6
GZI
12%
22%
66%
|
47 | 70 | 23 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
MOS
4 - 0
PIE
77%
15%
8%
|
48 | 62 | 14 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
PIE
1 - 2
HAM
13%
22%
65%
|
48 | 70 | 22 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
PIE
2 - 0
XEW
39%
24%
38%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | +2 |