Tercera Division IV - Euskadi. Jor. 20

Balmaseda FC vs Tolosa CF analysis

Balmaseda FC Tolosa CF
27 ELO 20
-14.4% Tilt -25.6%
11964º General ELO ranking 12377º
1142º Country ELO ranking 1402º
ELO win probability
62.5%
Balmaseda FC
21%
Draw
16.5%
Tolosa CF

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.5%
Win probability
Balmaseda FC
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
21%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
16.5%
Win probability
Tolosa CF
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Balmaseda FC
-18%
-9%
Tolosa CF

ELO progression

Balmaseda FC
Tolosa CF
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Balmaseda FC
Balmaseda FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Feb. 2021
RSO
Real Sociedad C
1 - 1
Balmaseda FC
BFC
67%
19%
13%
27 35 8 0
20 Feb. 2021
BFC
Balmaseda FC
0 - 0
SD Gernika
GER
19%
22%
59%
26 39 13 +1
13 Feb. 2021
SES
Sestao River
0 - 1
Balmaseda FC
BFC
76%
16%
8%
25 41 16 +1
10 Feb. 2021
BFC
Balmaseda FC
0 - 1
Aurrera KE
AUR
63%
20%
17%
26 19 7 -1
06 Feb. 2021
BFC
Balmaseda FC
0 - 1
Deusto
DEU
38%
24%
37%
26 29 3 0

Matches

Tolosa CF
Tolosa CF
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Feb. 2021
TOL
Tolosa CF
2 - 1
Aurrera KE
AUR
49%
24%
27%
20 18 2 0
20 Feb. 2021
IKE
Urgatzi KK
1 - 1
Tolosa CF
TOL
26%
23%
52%
20 15 5 0
13 Feb. 2021
TOL
Tolosa CF
0 - 3
JD Somorrostro
JUV
31%
25%
44%
21 26 5 -1
07 Feb. 2021
SFC
Santutxu
1 - 0
Tolosa CF
TOL
49%
25%
26%
22 27 5 -1
23 Jan. 2021
TOL
Tolosa CF
2 - 3
Real Sociedad C
RSO
20%
22%
58%
22 32 10 0
X