National 3 Occitanie. Jor. 25

Balma vs Montpellier II analysis

Balma Montpellier II
28 ELO 37
-25.5% Tilt -8.7%
22958º General ELO ranking 6757º
548º Country ELO ranking 153º
ELO win probability
26%
Balma
24.8%
Draw
49.2%
Montpellier II

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26%
Win probability
Balma
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
49.2%
Win probability
Montpellier II
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Balma
+26%
+11%
Montpellier II

Points and table prediction

Balma
Their league position
Montpellier II
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
13º
12º
39
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Béziers
57
57
100%
Toulouse II
55
55
100%
Stade Beaucairois
50
51
100%
Castanet
41
44
100%
Montpellier II
39
39
100%
Agde
34
37
86.5%
Colomiers
33
34
44%
Alberes Argelès
33
33
57.5%
Onet Le Château
31
31
82%
 Aigues Mortes
10º
29
29
10º
0%
Rodez II
11º
29
29
11º
0%
Balma
12º
28
28
12º
100%
Union Saint-Jean
13º
20
20
13º
100%
Bagnols-Pont
14º
16
16
14º
100%
Expected probabilities
Balma
Montpellier II
Relegation
100% 0%
Promotion
0% 0%
Mid-table
0% 100%

ELO progression

Balma
Montpellier II
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Balma
Balma
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 May. 2023
SAM
 Aigues Mortes
4 - 5
Balma
BAL
49%
23%
28%
29 30 1 0
06 May. 2023
BAL
Balma
2 - 1
Castanet
CAS
23%
25%
52%
27 36 9 +2
22 Apr. 2023
ROD
Rodez II
1 - 3
Balma
BAL
68%
17%
15%
26 31 5 +1
15 Apr. 2023
BAL
Balma
2 - 1
Alberes Argelès
FCA
16%
20%
63%
24 35 11 +2
01 Apr. 2023
TOU
Toulouse II
1 - 1
Balma
BAL
76%
15%
8%
24 40 16 0

Matches

Montpellier II
Montpellier II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 May. 2023
MON
Montpellier II
1 - 0
Union Saint-Jean
USJ
81%
12%
7%
36 22 14 0
06 May. 2023
FBP
Bagnols-Pont
3 - 2
Montpellier II
MON
15%
19%
66%
38 19 19 -2
22 Apr. 2023
MON
Montpellier II
2 - 1
Stade Beaucairois
BEA
50%
24%
26%
37 37 0 +1
15 Apr. 2023
ONE
Onet Le Château
1 - 1
Montpellier II
MON
24%
22%
54%
38 26 12 -1
01 Apr. 2023
MON
Montpellier II
6 - 0
Agde
AGD
54%
22%
23%
37 35 2 +1
X