National 3 Occitanie. Jor. 1

Balma vs Béziers analysis

Balma Béziers
30 ELO 52
-26.1% Tilt -11.2%
22228º General ELO ranking 19165º
548º Country ELO ranking 446º
ELO win probability
6.6%
Balma
17.6%
Draw
75.7%
Béziers

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
6.6%
Win probability
Balma
0.43
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
<0%
+2
1%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
1.6%
3-2
0.2%
4-3
<0%
+1
5.5%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.2%
0
17.6%
75.7%
Win probability
Béziers
2.04
Expected goals
0-1
17.3%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26%
0-2
17.6%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
23.4%
0-3
12%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
14.9%
0-4
6.1%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
7.3%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.1%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Balma
+8%
-13%
Béziers

Points and table prediction

Balma
Their league position
Béziers
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
13º
12º
57
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Béziers
57
57
100%
Toulouse II
55
55
100%
Stade Beaucairois
50
51
100%
Castanet
41
44
100%
Montpellier II
39
39
100%
Agde
34
37
86.5%
Colomiers
33
34
44%
Alberes Argelès
33
33
57.5%
Onet Le Château
31
31
82%
 Aigues Mortes
10º
29
29
10º
0%
Rodez II
11º
29
29
11º
0%
Balma
12º
28
28
12º
100%
Union Saint-Jean
13º
20
20
13º
100%
Bagnols-Pont
14º
16
16
14º
100%
Expected probabilities
Balma
Béziers
Promotion
0% 100%
Mid-table
0% 0%
Relegation
100% 0%

ELO progression

Balma
Béziers
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Balma
Balma
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Jun. 2022
FAB
Fabrègues
2 - 2
Balma
BAL
29%
25%
46%
30 22 8 0
28 May. 2022
BAL
Balma
4 - 0
AS Muretaine
MUR
56%
25%
19%
28 23 5 +2
22 May. 2022
ROD
Rodez II
3 - 3
Balma
BAL
62%
19%
19%
28 32 4 0
14 May. 2022
BAL
Balma
2 - 2
Alberes Argelès
FCA
29%
24%
46%
28 32 4 0
30 Apr. 2022
NIM
Nîmes II
0 - 0
Balma
BAL
48%
25%
27%
28 31 3 0

Matches

Béziers
Béziers
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 May. 2022
BEZ
Béziers
3 - 1
Angouleme
ANG
70%
19%
12%
52 43 9 0
21 May. 2022
CRF
Canet Roussillon
4 - 1
Béziers
BEZ
23%
27%
50%
53 45 8 -1
14 May. 2022
BEZ
Béziers
4 - 2
Nantes II
NAN
73%
17%
9%
53 41 12 0
30 Apr. 2022
COL
Colomiers
1 - 3
Béziers
BEZ
19%
24%
56%
53 41 12 0
22 Apr. 2022
BEZ
Béziers
3 - 1
Andrézieux
AND
43%
26%
31%
51 52 1 +2
X