Ballymena United vs Portadown analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.5%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.1%
2-0
14%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.7%
8.8%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
4º
10º
9º
16
11º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
73 | 73 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
68 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
66 | 66 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
65 | 65 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
62 | 62 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
58 | 58 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 23 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 23 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
16 | 16 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ballymena United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
BAL
4 - 1
NEY
77%
15%
8%
|
61 | 44 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
CLI
4 - 0
BAL
63%
22%
15%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2023 |
BAL
0 - 0
NEW
69%
19%
12%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
LIN
3 - 0
BAL
58%
24%
19%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
BAL
2 - 0
DUN
70%
19%
12%
|
62 | 49 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Portadown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
POR
0 - 3
GLE
8%
16%
76%
|
42 | 68 | 26 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
POR
1 - 6
LIN
7%
19%
75%
|
42 | 71 | 29 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2023 |
LAR
2 - 0
POR
80%
15%
5%
|
43 | 71 | 28 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
COL
4 - 1
POR
79%
15%
6%
|
43 | 69 | 26 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
POR
2 - 0
BAN
34%
24%
42%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | +1 |