NIFL Premiership Temporada Regular round 30

Ballymena United vs Linfield analysis

Ballymena United Linfield
65 ELO 72
12.2% Tilt 0.1%
2228º General ELO ranking 1452º
15º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
36.6%
Ballymena United
25.9%
Draw
37.5%
Linfield

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.6%
Win probability
Ballymena United
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.6%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
37.5%
Win probability
Linfield
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Ballymena United
-16%
+28%
Linfield

ELO progression

Ballymena United
Linfield
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Ballymena United
Ballymena United
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Mar. 2022
BAL
Ballymena United
3 - 3
Larne
LAR
32%
23%
45%
65 73 8 0
26 Feb. 2022
COL
Coleraine
1 - 1
Ballymena United
BAL
51%
26%
23%
65 72 7 0
19 Feb. 2022
BAL
Ballymena United
3 - 3
Glenavon
GLE
48%
24%
28%
66 63 3 -1
15 Feb. 2022
BAL
Ballymena United
3 - 0
Portstewart
POR
82%
12%
6%
65 47 18 +1
12 Feb. 2022
BAL
Ballymena United
1 - 0
Dungannon Swifts
DUN
72%
18%
10%
65 52 13 0

Matches

Linfield
Linfield
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Mar. 2022
CAR
Carrick Rangers
1 - 2
Linfield
LIN
14%
22%
64%
71 51 20 0
19 Feb. 2022
LIN
Linfield
1 - 0
Portadown
POR
78%
15%
7%
71 50 21 0
11 Feb. 2022
GLE
Glentoran
1 - 0
Linfield
LIN
44%
26%
30%
71 72 1 0
08 Feb. 2022
LIN
Linfield
2 - 1
Larne
LAR
39%
26%
36%
71 72 1 0
04 Feb. 2022
LAR
Larne
2 - 0
Linfield
LIN
46%
24%
30%
71 73 2 0