Tennent's Irish Cup . Semi-finals

Ballymena United vs Linfield analysis

Ballymena United Linfield
62 ELO 71
14.8% Tilt 3.3%
2896º General ELO ranking 1015º
17º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
36.1%
Ballymena United
23.9%
Draw
40%
Linfield

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.1%
Win probability
Ballymena United
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.6%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.9%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
40%
Win probability
Linfield
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.1%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Ballymena United
-27%
+20%
Linfield

ELO progression

Ballymena United
Linfield
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Ballymena United
Ballymena United
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 May. 2021
DUN
Dungannon Swifts
1 - 3
Ballymena United
BAL
16%
23%
61%
63 42 21 0
11 May. 2021
BAL
Ballymena United
5 - 0
Dergview FC
DER
79%
14%
7%
63 47 16 0
08 May. 2021
BAL
Ballymena United
5 - 0
PSNI
PSN
84%
11%
5%
63 37 26 0
04 May. 2021
CAR
Carrick Rangers
0 - 4
Ballymena United
BAL
22%
25%
53%
62 50 12 +1
01 May. 2021
BAL
Ballymena United
3 - 1
Glenavon
GLE
44%
24%
33%
61 61 0 +1

Matches

Linfield
Linfield
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 May. 2021
LIN
Linfield
1 - 2
Larne
LAR
46%
25%
29%
71 71 0 0
11 May. 2021
LOU
Loughgall
1 - 3
Linfield
LIN
20%
21%
59%
71 57 14 0
08 May. 2021
LIN
Linfield
5 - 2
Dungannon Swifts
DUN
87%
10%
3%
71 42 29 0
04 May. 2021
LIN
Linfield
3 - 1
Crusaders
CRU
43%
25%
33%
71 71 0 0
01 May. 2021
GLE
Glentoran
0 - 0
Linfield
LIN
43%
26%
32%
71 71 0 0
X