Ballymena United vs Crusaders analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.8%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.5%
1-0
7%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.1%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
42.9%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ballymena United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2021 |
BAL
2 - 0
CAR
69%
19%
13%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
BAL
5 - 1
DUN
74%
16%
10%
|
61 | 46 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2021 |
BAL
2 - 1
LIN
26%
25%
49%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
WAR
2 - 2
BAL
32%
26%
42%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2021 |
WAR
1 - 1
BAL
31%
26%
43%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2021 |
POR
1 - 2
CRU
18%
22%
61%
|
67 | 53 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
GLE
1 - 0
CRU
43%
25%
32%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2021 |
DUN
2 - 1
CRU
9%
17%
74%
|
68 | 45 | 23 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2021 |
CRU
1 - 2
LIN
39%
26%
35%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2021 |
COL
2 - 0
CRU
38%
26%
37%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |