Ballymena United vs Ards FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.3%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.8%
3-0
7%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.9%
14.7%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ballymena United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2017 |
BAL
2 - 1
LIN
40%
24%
36%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2017 |
GLE
1 - 1
BAL
36%
27%
37%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
BAL
3 - 3
WAR
69%
18%
13%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
GLE
4 - 0
BAL
65%
19%
16%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
BAL
6 - 3
ARD
67%
19%
15%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
Ards FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
ARD
2 - 4
CRU
20%
23%
57%
|
55 | 71 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
LIN
2 - 0
ARD
66%
20%
14%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2017 |
ARD
2 - 1
WAR
51%
24%
25%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2017 |
ARD
4 - 0
GLE
12%
16%
72%
|
53 | 71 | 18 | +3 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
BAL
6 - 3
ARD
67%
19%
15%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | -1 |