Ballinamallard United vs Dungannon Swifts analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.2%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
28.5%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ballinamallard United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
BAL
1 - 2
CAR
44%
25%
31%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
LIN
1 - 1
BAL
74%
17%
9%
|
51 | 71 | 20 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
BAL
2 - 4
GLE
20%
26%
54%
|
52 | 65 | 13 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2015 |
BAL
1 - 2
COL
24%
26%
50%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
CLI
3 - 1
BAL
76%
16%
9%
|
53 | 71 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Dungannon Swifts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
DUN
3 - 1
POR
23%
25%
53%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
CLI
1 - 0
DUN
79%
14%
6%
|
51 | 71 | 20 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
DUN
1 - 2
CRU
14%
21%
65%
|
51 | 71 | 20 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
DUN
5 - 1
WAR
57%
23%
20%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
GLE
1 - 1
DUN
70%
20%
10%
|
50 | 65 | 15 | 0 |