Nebitçi vs Merw analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.5%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
30.9%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-52%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nebitçi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
AGA
2 - 1
BFT
46%
24%
30%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2020 |
BFT
2 - 1
EFT
49%
23%
28%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
KAS
0 - 0
BFT
62%
22%
17%
|
43 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2020 |
BFT
2 - 4
AGA
23%
26%
51%
|
44 | 57 | 13 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
AHA
3 - 0
BFT
79%
15%
6%
|
44 | 64 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Merw
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
AGA
1 - 1
MER
62%
23%
15%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2020 |
MER
3 - 1
AGA
38%
25%
37%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | +2 |
| 07 Oct. 2020 |
MER
3 - 2
EFT
43%
25%
32%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
ALT
3 - 1
MER
88%
9%
3%
|
44 | 68 | 24 | -1 |
| 13 Jun. 2020 |
MER
0 - 1
KAS
29%
27%
44%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | 0 |