Nebitçi vs Şagadam analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.9%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.6%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
55.6%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
10%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
17.1%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nebitçi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2022 |
AHA
7 - 0
BFT
72%
17%
11%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2021 |
ALT
1 - 0
BFT
73%
16%
11%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2021 |
BFT
4 - 1
EFT
58%
22%
20%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2021 |
BFT
0 - 2
MER
38%
25%
37%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2021 |
AGA
3 - 0
BFT
47%
24%
29%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Şagadam
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2022 |
AGA
2 - 1
AGA
55%
25%
21%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2021 |
AGA
1 - 1
AGA
55%
24%
21%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2021 |
KAS
2 - 1
AGA
41%
27%
32%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2021 |
EFT
2 - 4
AGA
17%
23%
60%
|
52 | 37 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2021 |
AGA
1 - 2
AHA
40%
26%
34%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |