V AFG Suroeste round 13

Balkan Botevgrad vs Septemvri Simitli analysis

Balkan Botevgrad Septemvri Simitli
35 ELO 32
11.5% Tilt 8.5%
5834º General ELO ranking 6149º
52º Country ELO ranking 56º
ELO win probability
58.2%
Balkan Botevgrad
20%
Draw
21.8%
Septemvri Simitli

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.2%
Win probability
Balkan Botevgrad
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.2%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
20%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
21.8%
Win probability
Septemvri Simitli
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Balkan Botevgrad
-25%
-14%
Septemvri Simitli

Points and table prediction

Balkan Botevgrad
Their league position
Septemvri Simitli
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
13º
19
12º
18º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Kyustendil
43
43
100%
Vihren
43
43
100%
Bansko
36
36
100%
Oborishte
35
35
100%
Rilski Sportist
33
33
100%
Pirin Razlog
29
29
100%
Levski Sofia II
11º
24
27
57%
Septemvri Sofia II
26
26
57%
Balkan Botevgrad
25
25
57%
Gotse Delchev
25
25
10º
73%
CSKA Sofia III
10º
24
24
11º
100%
Botev Ihtiman
12º
23
23
12º
100%
Slivnishki Geroy
13º
22
22
13º
100%
Vitosha Bistritsa
14º
19
19
14º
0%
Septemvri Simitli
16º
19
19
15º
0%
Slavia Sofia II
15º
19
19
16º
0%
Pirin Blagoevgrad II
17º
15
15
17º
100%
CSKA 1948 Sofia III
18º
7
10
18º
91%
Granit Vladaya
19º
6
6
19º
91%
Expected probabilities
Balkan Botevgrad
Septemvri Simitli
Promotion
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Balkan Botevgrad
Septemvri Simitli
Oborishte
CSKA 1948 Sofia III
Granit Vladaya
Gotse Delchev
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Balkan Botevgrad
Balkan Botevgrad
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Oct. 2024
CSK
CSKA Sofia III
3 - 2
Balkan Botevgrad
BAL
22%
19%
59%
36 23 13 0
28 Sep. 2024
BAL
Balkan Botevgrad
1 - 1
Slavia Sofia II
SSO
45%
21%
34%
36 40 4 0
21 Sep. 2024
PIR
Pirin Razlog
4 - 0
Balkan Botevgrad
BAL
37%
24%
39%
38 38 0 -2
14 Sep. 2024
BAL
Balkan Botevgrad
2 - 1
Slivnishki Geroy
SLI
49%
22%
29%
36 40 4 +2
07 Sep. 2024
BAN
Bansko
1 - 1
Balkan Botevgrad
BAL
59%
22%
19%
35 43 8 +1

Matches

Septemvri Simitli
Septemvri Simitli
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Oct. 2024
SEP
Septemvri Simitli
3 - 0
Septemvri Sofia II
SSO
32%
23%
45%
31 37 6 0
28 Sep. 2024
LSO
Levski Sofia II
1 - 0
Septemvri Simitli
SEP
64%
18%
18%
32 37 5 -1
21 Sep. 2024
SEP
Septemvri Simitli
1 - 3
Pirin Blagoevgrad II
FPB
72%
16%
12%
33 20 13 -1
07 Sep. 2024
CSK
CSKA Sofia III
2 - 2
Septemvri Simitli
SEP
12%
17%
71%
34 10 24 -1
04 Sep. 2024
SEP
Septemvri Simitli
1 - 0
Slavia Sofia II
SSO
29%
21%
50%
32 40 8 +2