Balk vs Olde Veste .54 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.2%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.2%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
29.9%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Balk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
BAL
3 - 0
LTC
70%
18%
13%
|
23 | 16 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
ORA
0 - 0
BAL
62%
19%
19%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
BAL
3 - 0
CVV
58%
21%
21%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
BRO
0 - 1
BAL
42%
23%
35%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
BAL
5 - 3
OML
47%
23%
30%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Olde Veste .54
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
OLD
1 - 0
BCV
71%
17%
13%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
OLD
3 - 1
CVV
68%
18%
14%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
BRO
0 - 3
OLD
37%
23%
40%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
OLD
1 - 0
VEV
73%
16%
12%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
DZO
1 - 5
OLD
48%
23%
30%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |