Balk vs Noordscheschut analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.5%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.4%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
21.8%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Balk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
CVV
3 - 0
BAL
76%
15%
10%
|
17 | 29 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
BAL
0 - 0
OML
76%
15%
9%
|
17 | 10 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
OEV
1 - 2
BAL
56%
21%
23%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
BAL
3 - 6
PKC
20%
21%
59%
|
18 | 27 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
TRY
0 - 3
BAL
46%
22%
32%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Noordscheschut
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
NOO
1 - 1
ORA
19%
21%
60%
|
14 | 26 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
LTC
4 - 3
NOO
67%
18%
15%
|
14 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
VEV
5 - 0
NOO
61%
20%
19%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
NOO
0 - 3
CVV
18%
20%
62%
|
16 | 31 | 15 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
NOO
2 - 4
BUI
45%
23%
32%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | -1 |