Bala Town vs Penybont analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.1%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
17.3%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
2º
11º
5º
41
1º
6º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
60 | 60 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
44 | 44 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
41 | 41 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 41 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 33 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
27 | 27 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 25 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 24 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 22 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 20 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 1 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bala Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
HAV
1 - 4
BAL
22%
25%
53%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2022 |
BAL
4 - 0
GRE
93%
6%
1%
|
65 | 36 | 29 | +2 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
BAL
0 - 5
TNS
49%
24%
27%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | -2 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
HAW
1 - 6
BAL
4%
9%
87%
|
67 | 6 | 61 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2022 |
AIR
0 - 6
BAL
17%
23%
61%
|
67 | 47 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Penybont
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
PEN
0 - 1
CON
39%
27%
34%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
AIR
0 - 3
PEN
28%
24%
48%
|
61 | 47 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
RIS
1 - 5
PEN
6%
12%
83%
|
61 | 30 | 31 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
FLI
1 - 1
PEN
36%
26%
37%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2022 |
PEN
1 - 1
PON
74%
17%
10%
|
61 | 46 | 15 | 0 |