Bala Town vs Colwyn Bay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.7%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
14.2%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
2º
6º
3º
14
9º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
62 | 82 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 59 |
2º
|
89.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
37 | 49 |
3º
|
33% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 48 |
4º
|
34% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 47 |
5º
|
25.5% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 46 |
6º
|
22% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 43 |
7º
|
21% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 42 |
8º
|
23% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 34 |
9º
|
37% | |
|
12º
|
13 | 33 |
10º
|
38.5% | |
|
10º
|
15 | 27 |
11º
|
48% | |
|
|
11º
|
14 | 25 |
12º
|
68.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
92% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
8% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bala Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
NEW
1 - 0
BAL
50%
24%
25%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
BAL
0 - 1
ABE
71%
18%
11%
|
63 | 50 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
BAR
3 - 1
BAL
22%
25%
54%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2023 |
GUI
1 - 0
BAL
12%
18%
71%
|
65 | 46 | 19 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
PON
0 - 0
BAL
25%
26%
50%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Colwyn Bay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2023 |
PRE
2 - 2
COL
13%
18%
69%
|
53 | 37 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
COL
2 - 2
CAR
25%
27%
48%
|
52 | 65 | 13 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2023 |
CON
2 - 1
COL
67%
21%
13%
|
53 | 68 | 15 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
COL
2 - 4
NEW
22%
23%
55%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2023 |
COL
3 - 1
ABE
45%
24%
31%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | +1 |