Bala Town vs Cardiff MU analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.3%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
16.8%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bala Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
BAR
0 - 0
BAL
37%
25%
38%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
BAL
2 - 2
PEN
62%
21%
16%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
FLI
1 - 1
BAL
16%
20%
65%
|
65 | 52 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2021 |
LAR
1 - 0
BAL
56%
22%
22%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2021 |
BAL
0 - 1
LAR
38%
24%
38%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Cardiff MU
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2021 |
HAV
0 - 0
CAR
27%
26%
47%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
CAR
1 - 5
FLI
60%
23%
17%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | -2 |
| 06 Aug. 2021 |
AAF
0 - 4
CAR
8%
14%
78%
|
60 | 31 | 29 | +1 |
| 10 Jul. 2021 |
ABE
0 - 2
CAR
39%
24%
37%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2021 |
CAR
2 - 1
FLI
58%
23%
19%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | 0 |