Bala Town vs Caernarfon Town FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.6%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
19.9%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bala Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2021 |
PEN
2 - 3
BAL
29%
25%
46%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
BAL
0 - 1
TNS
42%
23%
35%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2021 |
BAL
5 - 0
FLI
79%
14%
7%
|
66 | 47 | 19 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
BAR
6 - 2
BAL
35%
26%
39%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
BAL
1 - 2
CAE
57%
22%
21%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Caernarfon Town FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2021 |
CAE
1 - 6
CON
42%
26%
33%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
CAE
0 - 1
BAR
48%
25%
27%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2021 |
TNS
4 - 1
CAE
59%
21%
20%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
CAE
3 - 2
CAR
63%
21%
16%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
BAL
1 - 2
CAE
57%
22%
21%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | +1 |