Bala Town vs Aberystwyth Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.7%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.7%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.9%
10.4%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
2º
11º
5º
22
4º
11º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
60 | 60 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
44 | 44 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 41 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 41 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 33 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
27 | 27 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 25 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 24 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
22 | 22 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 20 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 1 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bala Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
BAL
1 - 1
PEN
62%
21%
17%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
HAV
1 - 4
BAL
22%
25%
53%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2022 |
BAL
4 - 0
GRE
93%
6%
1%
|
65 | 36 | 29 | +2 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
BAL
0 - 5
TNS
49%
24%
27%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | -2 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
HAW
1 - 6
BAL
4%
9%
87%
|
67 | 6 | 61 | 0 |
Matches
Aberystwyth Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2022 |
ABE
2 - 1
FLI
40%
25%
35%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2022 |
CAE
2 - 1
ABE
62%
21%
17%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2022 |
ABE
2 - 1
HAV
41%
25%
34%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
PAA
0 - 0
ABE
5%
11%
85%
|
54 | 15 | 39 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
CAR
2 - 1
ABE
61%
22%
16%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | 0 |