Bala Azul vs Atl. Santa Cruz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.9%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.1%
15.1%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+39%
+44%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bala Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
BAL
3 - 0
MAZ
44%
25%
32%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
OLI
0 - 0
BAL
33%
24%
43%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
BAL
1 - 1
BAL
40%
23%
36%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
EFL
0 - 3
BAL
24%
21%
55%
|
17 | 12 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
BAL
1 - 0
CDL
67%
19%
14%
|
17 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Atl. Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
CDA
3 - 1
ASC
70%
17%
14%
|
14 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
ASC
4 - 2
MAZ
22%
22%
56%
|
13 | 19 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
MIN
0 - 1
ASC
72%
17%
12%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
ASC
0 - 1
OLI
47%
22%
31%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
AFC
0 - 2
ASC
79%
13%
8%
|
11 | 17 | 6 | +1 |