Baía de Pemba vs Ferroviário Maputo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.6%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
15.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.8%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
10.9%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.4%
21.9%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baía de Pemba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
BBM
3 - 0
BDP
62%
22%
16%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
BDP
2 - 0
VIL
50%
27%
23%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
BDP
2 - 1
FER
48%
28%
24%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2023 |
VIL
1 - 1
BDP
38%
29%
33%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
BDP
0 - 1
FER
43%
28%
29%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Ferroviário Maputo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
FER
0 - 1
COS
38%
29%
33%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
LIC
2 - 1
FER
41%
30%
29%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
BDP
2 - 1
FER
48%
28%
24%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
FER
0 - 2
BBM
35%
28%
37%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
QUE
1 - 0
FER
41%
30%
29%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |