Bagnolese vs Marignanese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.1%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.2%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
30.1%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bagnolese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 2021 |
BAG
0 - 0
ACP
23%
23%
54%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2021 |
RIM
2 - 2
BAG
68%
19%
13%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2021 |
COR
1 - 0
BAG
55%
22%
23%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2021 |
BAG
1 - 1
MEZ
39%
26%
35%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
PRO
1 - 1
BAG
57%
21%
22%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Marignanese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 2021 |
MAR
2 - 3
PRO
40%
22%
38%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2021 |
ACP
1 - 0
MAR
64%
19%
17%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
MAR
0 - 1
ASD
51%
22%
28%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
MEZ
1 - 1
MAR
54%
21%
25%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
MAR
2 - 3
USR
29%
22%
48%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | -1 |