Bagnolese vs Seravezza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.4%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.3%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.9%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
43.6%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bagnolese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2021 |
MAR
1 - 2
BAG
47%
22%
31%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
ACP
2 - 1
BAG
73%
17%
10%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2021 |
BAG
1 - 1
RIM
16%
21%
63%
|
23 | 39 | 16 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2021 |
BAG
1 - 0
COR
15%
19%
65%
|
20 | 34 | 14 | +3 |
| 17 Jan. 2021 |
MEZ
1 - 2
BAG
74%
16%
10%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Seravezza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2021 |
SER
0 - 2
PRO
39%
22%
38%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
ASD
1 - 1
SER
26%
24%
51%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2021 |
SER
1 - 2
MEZ
50%
24%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2021 |
SER
1 - 2
PRO
61%
20%
19%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2021 |
USR
0 - 0
SER
35%
25%
39%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |