Bagnolese vs Mezzolara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.3%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
35.2%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bagnolese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2021 |
PRO
1 - 1
BAG
57%
21%
22%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2021 |
ASD
3 - 2
BAG
41%
25%
34%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
BAG
1 - 1
GHI
36%
25%
40%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2021 |
USR
1 - 2
BAG
58%
24%
18%
|
23 | 35 | 12 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
BAG
0 - 0
LEN
15%
22%
64%
|
22 | 42 | 20 | +1 |
Matches
Mezzolara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2021 |
MEZ
1 - 1
MAR
54%
21%
25%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
MEZ
1 - 1
USR
31%
24%
45%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2021 |
GHI
3 - 2
MEZ
47%
25%
28%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2021 |
PRO
0 - 2
MEZ
43%
24%
33%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
PRO
0 - 1
MEZ
57%
21%
22%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | +1 |