Bagnolese vs Forli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.4%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.9%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.7%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
47.2%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bagnolese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
ROS
2 - 1
BAG
40%
25%
36%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2011 |
BAG
0 - 2
CAM
61%
21%
18%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
MEZ
3 - 2
BAG
38%
25%
37%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
TUT
1 - 1
BAG
40%
25%
36%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
BAG
1 - 0
ASS
54%
23%
24%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Forli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
FOR
2 - 1
ASS
65%
20%
15%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2011 |
FOR
1 - 4
FOR
23%
25%
52%
|
40 | 26 | 14 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
FOR
3 - 1
SAN
53%
24%
23%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
VIR
1 - 2
FOR
30%
26%
44%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
FOR
1 - 2
CER
67%
20%
14%
|
39 | 25 | 14 | -1 |