Bagnolese vs Fiorenzuola analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.8%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.4%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24.1%
58.1%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
14%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.9%
0-2
11.8%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bagnolese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
SAM
2 - 0
BAG
45%
25%
30%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2021 |
BAG
0 - 1
ACA
14%
18%
68%
|
24 | 40 | 16 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
COR
1 - 1
BAG
15%
19%
66%
|
24 | 13 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
BAG
1 - 1
SER
32%
24%
44%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2021 |
MAR
1 - 2
BAG
47%
22%
31%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Fiorenzuola
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2021 |
PRO
0 - 1
FIO
36%
24%
40%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2021 |
FIO
4 - 1
ACP
42%
26%
33%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
FIO
3 - 0
ASD
71%
18%
11%
|
37 | 23 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2021 |
FIO
2 - 4
LEN
45%
27%
28%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
GHI
0 - 1
FIO
18%
24%
58%
|
38 | 21 | 17 | 0 |