Bagnolese vs Sasso Marconi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.8%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.4%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.7%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
52.9%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.2%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bagnolese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
GHI
1 - 1
BAG
68%
18%
13%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2020 |
ACA
2 - 1
BAG
82%
12%
6%
|
18 | 37 | 19 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
BAG
0 - 1
USR
18%
21%
61%
|
18 | 31 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
PRO
2 - 1
BAG
69%
17%
14%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
FIO
1 - 0
BAG
74%
17%
9%
|
19 | 33 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Sasso Marconi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
ASD
1 - 0
MEZ
34%
26%
40%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
PRO
3 - 1
ASD
54%
21%
25%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | -2 |
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
LEN
3 - 0
ASD
57%
23%
20%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
ASD
1 - 3
RIM
24%
24%
52%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
GHI
0 - 2
ASD
46%
24%
31%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | +1 |