Baeza CF vs Guadix CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.7%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.9%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.9%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.6%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.2%
8%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-45%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baeza CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2021 |
CDC
0 - 0
BAE
44%
25%
31%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
BAE
0 - 0
CDL
40%
23%
37%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
BER
3 - 2
BAE
60%
20%
20%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
BAE
1 - 1
ATA
41%
25%
35%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
MAR
2 - 1
BAE
47%
24%
30%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Guadix CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2021 |
GUA
0 - 3
MAR
13%
19%
67%
|
8 | 14 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
CEL
2 - 2
GUA
83%
11%
5%
|
7 | 15 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
GUA
1 - 1
CDV
27%
23%
51%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
GUA
1 - 3
UDS
9%
18%
72%
|
7 | 18 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2021 |
CDL
2 - 1
GUA
82%
12%
6%
|
8 | 14 | 6 | -1 |