Baden vs FC Wil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.4%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.2%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.2%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
56.9%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.5%
0-3
6%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-33%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
5º
10º
10º
44
1º
7º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
79 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
76 | 76 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
49 | 49 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
26 | 26 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
FCA
2 - 0
BAD
73%
17%
10%
|
51 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
BAD
1 - 1
FCV
18%
22%
60%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
THU
3 - 1
BAD
74%
17%
9%
|
51 | 70 | 19 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
BAD
2 - 3
STA
29%
25%
46%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
BAD
0 - 1
SCH
26%
24%
51%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
FC Wil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2024 |
ALT
1 - 3
WIL
49%
25%
26%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
WIL
0 - 0
NEX
46%
25%
29%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
THU
2 - 1
WIL
57%
23%
21%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2024 |
STA
1 - 1
WIL
38%
24%
38%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2024 |
WIL
1 - 1
FCA
30%
25%
45%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |