Baden vs Lugano II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.5%
Win probability
3.08
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.7%
6-0
3.1%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4%
5-0
6.1%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.1%
4-0
9.9%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.8%
3-0
12.8%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.4%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.4%
9.5%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
9.5%
4%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.1%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
FCG
3 - 3
BAD
21%
22%
57%
|
47 | 35 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2021 |
BAD
1 - 0
LIN
56%
21%
23%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
BAD
4 - 1
FCT
81%
12%
7%
|
46 | 33 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
ESC
2 - 0
BAD
28%
24%
48%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
UZW
3 - 2
BAD
16%
20%
64%
|
49 | 33 | 16 | -2 |
Matches
Lugano II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
LUG
3 - 3
UZW
24%
23%
54%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
FCG
5 - 3
LUG
73%
16%
12%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
LUG
0 - 3
WIN
31%
23%
47%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | -2 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
FCT
4 - 1
LUG
53%
22%
25%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
LUG
0 - 1
STG
36%
22%
42%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | -1 |