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Switzerland Fourth Division. Matchday 19

Baden vs FC Gossau analysis

Baden FC Gossau
17 ELO 13
51% Tilt -18%
7664º General ELO ranking 9223º
55º Country ELO ranking 63º
ELO win probability
68.1%
Baden
18.9%
Draw
12.9%
FC Gossau

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.1%
Win probability
Baden
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.9%
12.9%
Win probability
FC Gossau
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Baden
+105%
-7%
FC Gossau

Points and table prediction

Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Baden
57
57
100%
Tuggen
55
55
100%
Eschen/Mauren
54
54
100%
FC Wettswil-Bonstetten
51
51
100%
Red Star Zürich
43
43
100%
Kosova
37
37
100%
St. Gallen II
36
36
50%
Hongg
36
36
50%
Linth 04
34
34
100%
Winterthur II
10º
33
33
10º
100%
FC Thalwil
11º
25
25
11º
100%
FC Gossau
12º
22
22
12º
100%
Mendrisio-Stabio
13º
13
13
13º
100%
United Zürich
14º
12
12
14º
100%
Expected probabilities
Baden
FC Gossau
Champion
100% 0%
Promotion playoffs
0% 0%
Could qualify for next round
0% 0%
Mid-table
0% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Baden
BAD
FC Gossau
FCG
Eschen/Mauren
ESC
St. Gallen II
STG
Kosova
KOS
Linth 04
LIN
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Baden
Baden
1%
X%
2%
ELO BAD ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Mar. 2019
BAD
Baden
4 - 0
Kosova
KOS
47%
27%
26%
237 96 141 +1
16 Mar. 2019
RSZ
Red Star Zürich
0 - 2
Baden
BAD
41%
28%
31%
236 122 -114 +1
09 Mar. 2019
BAD
Baden
3 - 2
United Zürich
UZU
49%
26%
25%
235 102 133 +1
02 Mar. 2019
FCT
FC Thalwil
1 - 1
Baden
BAD
42%
27%
31%
235 97 -138 0
10 Nov. 2018
BAD
Baden
3 - 0
Mendrisio-Stabio
MEN
47%
27%
26%
234 138 96 +1

Matches

FC Gossau
FC Gossau
1%
X%
2%
ELO FCG ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Mar. 2019
FCG
FC Gossau
0 - 1
FC Wettswil-Bonstetten
FCW
45%
27%
28%
186 168 18 -1
17 Mar. 2019
KOS
Kosova
2 - 1
FC Gossau
FCG
45%
27%
29%
187 95 -92 -1
09 Mar. 2019
FCG
FC Gossau
1 - 4
Linth 04
LIN
46%
27%
26%
188 107 81 -2
02 Mar. 2019
RSZ
Red Star Zürich
3 - 1
FC Gossau
FCG
41%
28%
30%
190 121 -69 -1
10 Nov. 2018
FCG
FC Gossau
3 - 1
Tuggen
TUG
41%
28%
30%
188 246 -58 +1