Copa del Rey . 1/16
Global 3-1
CD Badajoz vs Leganés analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.9%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.4%
14.8%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Badajoz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 1995 |
EXT
0 - 1
CDB
47%
26%
27%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1995 |
LEG
0 - 2
CDB
54%
23%
22%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 1995 |
CDB
2 - 1
ATH
52%
26%
22%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 1995 |
EIB
0 - 0
CDB
42%
30%
28%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1995 |
LOG
0 - 2
CDB
69%
19%
13%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Leganés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 1995 |
LEG
2 - 3
CDT
43%
27%
30%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1995 |
LEG
0 - 2
CDB
54%
23%
22%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 1995 |
CDO
0 - 2
LEG
42%
27%
32%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1995 |
LEG
1 - 3
MLL
33%
28%
39%
|
60 | 75 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 1995 |
CDB
1 - 1
LEG
52%
25%
23%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |