Bacabal vs Pinheiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.7%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.4%
25%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
6%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bacabal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2021 |
BAC
0 - 4
SAM
9%
15%
76%
|
37 | 64 | 27 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
ARA
3 - 0
BAC
31%
23%
46%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | +6 |
| 13 Mar. 2014 |
BAC
1 - 3
JOS
59%
23%
19%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | -2 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
COR
3 - 0
BAC
44%
23%
33%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2014 |
BAC
2 - 2
IMP
43%
26%
32%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Pinheiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2021 |
PMA
1 - 0
JOS
29%
22%
49%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2020 |
JCA
4 - 2
PMA
56%
20%
24%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | -2 |
| 18 Aug. 2020 |
PMA
1 - 1
JCA
32%
22%
46%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2020 |
IMP
3 - 1
PMA
69%
18%
13%
|
30 | 51 | 21 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2020 |
JOS
1 - 5
PMA
52%
21%
27%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | +3 |