Herrera FC vs UMECIT analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.9%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
23%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
23%
16.1%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
8
8º
12º
12º
19
6º
12º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
31 | 31 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
30 | 30 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
29 | 29 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
27 | 27 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
24 | 24 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
23 | 23 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 21 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
20 | 20 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
19 | 19 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 16 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
11 | 11 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
8 | 8 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Herrera FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
AZU
0 - 1
CHO
53%
24%
23%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2024 |
SMI
1 - 0
AZU
42%
26%
32%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
ARA
2 - 1
AZU
37%
28%
35%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
AZU
0 - 1
TAU
48%
26%
26%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
COS
2 - 2
AZU
44%
26%
31%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
UMECIT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2024 |
IND
2 - 1
UME
59%
24%
17%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
TAU
1 - 1
UME
54%
26%
20%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
UME
0 - 1
AMA
34%
28%
38%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
UME
3 - 1
AFC
32%
29%
40%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
ARA
1 - 0
UME
53%
27%
21%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |