Herrera FC vs San Martín analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.6%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
33.8%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-51%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Herrera FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
CEN
3 - 3
AZU
47%
27%
26%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
AZU
1 - 2
CHI
38%
26%
36%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
OES
2 - 2
AZU
41%
27%
33%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
AZU
1 - 1
NAC
41%
25%
33%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | +2 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
VER
1 - 1
AZU
56%
23%
21%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
San Martín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
SMA
0 - 0
NAC
49%
25%
26%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
OES
0 - 1
SMA
35%
28%
37%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2018 |
SMA
0 - 0
SUN
48%
26%
27%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
RIO
0 - 0
SMA
29%
27%
43%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
SMA
2 - 0
COL
60%
23%
18%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | +1 |